Why Annaly and AGNC make REM’s 9.55% yield more durable than it looks

Photo of John Seetoo
By John Seetoo Published

Quick Read

  • iShares Mortgage Real Estate ETF (REM) yields 9.55% through 100% mortgage REIT concentration, mostly sustainable.

  • Top five holdings—Annaly and AGNC leading at 35% combined—covered 2025 dividends with room to spare.

  • Blackstone Mortgage Trust cut its dividend 24% in 2024 and remains the ETF’s clearest income concern.

This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.
Why Annaly and AGNC make REM’s 9.55% yield more durable than it looks

© SWKStock / Shutterstock.com

The iShares Mortgage Real Estate ETF (NYSEARCA:REM) offers investors a 9.55% dividend yield through a portfolio that is 100% concentrated in mortgage REITs. That yield is real, but understanding whether it holds requires looking at how each major holding generates cash.

A human hand interacts with a digital interface displaying the prominent text 'REIT' and numerous financial icons, charts, and data visualizations, all superimposed on an out-of-focus, high-angle view of city buildings and infrastructure.
TierneyMJ / Shutterstock.com
A hand interacts with a digital display showcasing ‘REIT’ and various financial data points over a blurred urban cityscape, symbolizing real estate investment trusts.

Borrowing Short, Lending Long: The mREIT Income Engine

Mortgage REITs borrow money at short-term rates and invest it in longer-duration mortgage assets, pocketing the spread. Agency mREITs like Annaly and AGNC hold government-backed mortgage securities with low credit risk but high rate sensitivity. Commercial mREITs like Starwood and Blackstone Mortgage Trust make loans against office buildings, multifamily properties, and industrial assets, carrying more credit risk but less rate sensitivity. Because all REITs must distribute at least 90% of taxable income, the dividend is structurally large. The question is whether earnings sustain it.

REM holds 35 mortgage REIT positions, but the top five drive the story. Annaly Capital Management (19.6%), AGNC Investment Corp. (15.3%), Starwood Property Trust (10.1%), Blackstone Mortgage Trust (4.4%), and Rithm Capital (4.4%) together represent roughly 54% of the fund, as listed below:

  • Annaly Capital Management — 19.6%
  • AGNC Investment Corp. — 15.3%
  • Starwood Property Trust — 10.1%
  • Blackstone Mortgage Trust — 4.4%
  • Rithm Capital — 4.4%

The Two Pillars: Annaly and AGNC

Annaly Capital Management (NYSE:NLY | NLY Price Prediction) is the bedrock. Its full-year 2025 EPS of $2.92 covered the $2.80 annual dividend, and its net interest spread expanded from roughly 0.4% to nearly 1% year-over-year. Management raised the quarterly payout from $0.65 to $0.70 in early 2025, holding there for five consecutive quarters. The dividend looks safe.

AGNC Investment Corp. (NASDAQ:AGNC) pays a monthly $0.12 dividend that has been consistent for 24-plus months. CEO Peter Federico stated that “returns in the marketplace, which I mentioned are around 13% to 15%, exceed our dividend yield, providing ample coverage.” The full-year 2025 economic return was 22.7%, nearly double the S&P 500. The current $0.12 monthly rate reflects a reset from higher historical levels, making it more durable than pre-2020 payouts.

Starwood and Rithm: Manageable Risk

Starwood Property Trust (NYSE:STWD) has maintained its $0.48 quarterly dividend for six-plus consecutive years without a cut. Q4 2025 revenue beat estimates by 15% and net income rose 88% year-over-year. Its $1.40 billion in liquidity and a recently announced $400 million share repurchase program signal management confidence. The dividend is stable.

Rithm Capital (NYSE:RITM) has held its $0.25 quarterly dividend steady since 2023. Its diversified model spanning mortgage servicing rights, origination, and asset management generated a 19% full-year EAD return on equity in 2025. Integration risk from late-2025 acquisitions is real but has not yet pressured the payout.

The Weak Link: Blackstone Mortgage Trust

Blackstone Mortgage Trust (NYSE:BXMT) is the fund’s clearest dividend concern. It cut its quarterly payout from $0.62 to $0.47 in Q3 2024, a 24% reduction. Through all four quarters of 2025, GAAP EPS never covered the $0.47 dividend alone. Management argues that distributable EPS excluding CECL charge-offs reached $0.51 in Q4 2025, which covers the payout. The loan portfolio improved, with 99% performing by year-end and impaired loans down 96% from their Q3 2024 peak. But book value per share has eroded, and the 20% office loan exposure remains a real risk in a still-uncertain commercial real estate environment. The $0.47 dividend is fragile.

Total Return and Rate Environment

REM’s price has risen roughly 27% over the past year, meaning the yield has been additive to real gains rather than a consolation for price losses. The Fed funds rate sits at 3.75% after two cuts in late 2025, reducing borrowing costs for leveraged mREIT portfolios. The 10-year Treasury yield near 4.3% and a yield curve spread of 0.5% remain supportive, though the spread has compressed from February highs.

REM’s 9.5% Yield Is Mostly Safe, With One Exception

REM’s roughly 9.5% yield is largely sustainable. The two largest holdings, representing about 35% of the fund, both covered their dividends in 2025 with room to spare. Starwood and Rithm are stable. The one position worth monitoring is Blackstone Mortgage Trust, which already cut once and whose GAAP earnings still do not cover its payout. That position is small enough that it cannot derail the ETF’s overall income stream, but it is a reminder that this fund is not risk-free. mREIT dividends fluctuate with interest rates and credit cycles, and the fund’s income stream reflects that reality. Investors who treat it as a bond substitute with no principal risk may be misjudging the structure.

Photo of John Seetoo
About the Author John Seetoo →

After 15 years on Wall Street with 7 of them as Director of Corporate and Municipal Bond Trading for a NYSE member firm, I started my own project and corporate finance consultancy. Much of the work involves writing business plans, presentations, white papers and marketing materials for companies seeking budgetary allocations for spinoffs and new initiatives or for raising capital for expansion or startup companies and entrepreneurs. On financial topics, I have been published under my own byline at The Motley Fool, a673b.bigscoots-temp.com, DealFlow Events’ Healthcare Services Investment Newsletter and The Microcap Newsletter, among others.  Additionally, I have done freelance ghostwriting writing and editing for several financial websites, such as Seeking Alpha and Shmoop Financial. I have also written and been published on a variety of other topics from music, audiophile sound and film to musical instrument history, martial arts, and current events.  Publications include Copper Magazine, Fidelity (Germany), Blasting News, Inside Kung-Fu, and other periodicals.

Featured Reads

Our top personal finance-related articles today. Your wallet will thank you later.

Continue Reading

Top Gaining Stocks

CBOE Vol: 1,568,143
PSKY Vol: 12,285,993
STX Vol: 7,378,346
ORCL Vol: 26,317,675
DDOG Vol: 6,247,779

Top Losing Stocks

LKQ
LKQ Vol: 4,367,433
CLX Vol: 13,260,523
SYK Vol: 4,519,455
MHK Vol: 1,859,865
AMGN Vol: 3,818,618