Billionaire Seth Klarman Is Buying These 2 Beaten-Down Stocks and 1 Long-Term Winner

Photo of Thomas Richmond
By Thomas Richmond Published

Quick Read

  • Amazon (AMZN) delivered AWS revenue of $35.58B, growing 24% year-over-year in Q4 2025, prompting Baupost to double its position.

  • Fiserv (FISV) faces margin pressure from transformation costs but trades at an 8x forward P/E with upside to a $74.42 analyst target, leading Baupost to increase its stake by 146% as it bets on margin recovery.

  • Molina Healthcare (MOH) fell 53.76% over the past year after Q4 results showed a 94.6% medical care ratio, but Baupost initiated a 1.91% portfolio position betting the selloff is temporary.

This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.
Billionaire Seth Klarman Is Buying These 2 Beaten-Down Stocks and 1 Long-Term Winner

© stock market graph , business investment analysis , data analytic for trading (Shutterstock.com) by janews

Through the Baupost Group, Seth Klarman has built a reputation as one of the most disciplined value investors on Wall Street, often holding cash for long stretches before stepping in when opportunities finally show up. When Klarman starts putting money to work, it usually means he sees something the market is missing.

In the most recently disclosed quarterly filing, Seth Klarman’s Baupost Group added to positions in three distinct businesses: Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN | AMZN Price Prediction), Fiserv (NASDAQ:FISV), and Molina Healthcare (NYSE:MOH). The three holdings span e-commerce and cloud computing, payments infrastructure, and Medicaid-focused managed care, reflecting Klarman’s long-standing preference for businesses the market has either misunderstood or temporarily punished.

Amazon: Baupost Doubles Down as AWS Growth Reaccelerates

Amazon’s Q4 2025 results delivered the kind of fundamental improvement that value investors wait for. AWS revenue reached $35.58 billion in the quarter, growing 24% year over year, the fastest pace in 13 quarters. Advertising services contributed $21.32 billion, up 23% year over year. Operating income for the quarter was $24.98 billion.

Last quarter, Baupost increased its position by 100%, effectively doubling its stake and bringing Amazon to about 8.60% of the portfolio, making it one of the firm’s largest holdings. That kind of move signals strong conviction, especially given Klarman’s tendency to size positions selectively. Shares are up 45.16% over the past year, trading at $250.56 as of April 17, 2026. Baupost’s accumulation was likely below today’s current share price.

Fiserv: Aggressive Buying Signals Confidence in a Turnaround

Fiserv is the most contrarian of the three picks. The business has faced pressure from margin compression and slower growth, but the underlying payments infrastructure remains deeply embedded across the financial system. Q4 2025 adjusted operating margin contracted from 42.9% to 34.9%, driven by $73 million in One Fiserv transformation program costs. Organic revenue growth was flat in Q4, a step down from the 4% full-year rate. Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $8.00 to $8.30 implies a potential decline from the $8.64 reported in 2025.

Last quarter, Baupost increased its position by roughly 146%, bringing Fiserv to about 2.60% of the portfolio. That’s a meaningful build into a stock that many investors have moved away from, which fits Klarman’s pattern of leaning into temporary dislocation. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 8x, with an analyst consensus price target of $74.42 against a current price of $63.97. Klarman’s thesis likely centers on the margin recovery that the One Fiserv program is designed to deliver.

Molina Healthcare: Baupost Steps In After a Sharp Selloff

Molina is the most beaten-down of the three. The stock is down 53.76% over the past year and 14.16% year to date, trading at $148.97 as of April 17, 2026. The sell-off followed a difficult Q4 2025 and weak 2026 guidance. Molina reported a Q4 2025 GAAP loss per diluted share of $3.15 and an adjusted loss per diluted share of $2.75, as the consolidated medical care ratio deteriorated to 94.6% in the quarter from 90.2% a year earlier. Full-year 2025 GAAP EPS came in at $8.92, and the company issued 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of at least $5.00 with premium revenue guidance of approximately $42 billion.

Baupost initiated its position last quarter, bringing Molina to about 1.91% of the portfolio. That kind of move into a declining stock highlights Klarman’s willingness to buy when sentiment is at its weakest. The company’s medical cost ratio spiked in the latest quarter, but that pressure may ease as Medicaid redetermination cycles stabilize. With the stock already rebounding from its lows, Baupost’s positioning suggests it sees the selloff as an overreaction rather than a permanent impairment.

Photo of Thomas Richmond
About the Author Thomas Richmond →

Thomas Richmond is a financial writer and content strategist with 5+ years of experience covering stocks and financial markets. He has published over 250 articles focused on individual stock analysis, helping investors better understand business fundamentals, stock valuations, and long-term opportunities.

Thomas previously served as a Content Lead at TIKR, a stock research platform, where he helped scale the company’s blog to hundreds of articles per month and contributed to a weekly newsletter reaching more than 100,000 investors.

He specializes in breaking down complex companies into clear, actionable insights for everyday investors, with a focus on fundamentals-driven research.

His work has also been featured on platforms including Seeking Alpha and Sure Dividend.

Outside of work, Thomas enjoys weight lifting and soccer.

Featured Reads

Our top personal finance-related articles today. Your wallet will thank you later.

Continue Reading

Top Gaining Stocks

CBOE Vol: 1,568,143
PSKY Vol: 12,285,993
STX Vol: 7,378,346
ORCL Vol: 26,317,675
DDOG Vol: 6,247,779

Top Losing Stocks

LKQ
LKQ Vol: 4,367,433
CLX Vol: 13,260,523
SYK Vol: 4,519,455
MHK Vol: 1,859,865
AMGN Vol: 3,818,618