Realty Income (NYSE: O | O Price Prediction) and STAG Industrial (NYSE: STAG) both reported fourth quarter earnings and paid monthly dividends. One is a global REIT with retail, industrial, and gaming assets. The other is a U.S. industrial pure-play. Their results tell two different stories about where income real estate is heading.
Industrial Rent Growth Carries STAG. Scale and Diversification Carries Realty Income.
STAG delivered the sharper quarter. EPS came in at $0.44 against a consensus of $0.22, a 100% beat. The engine was genuine leasing momentum: full-year Cash Rent Change hit 24% across 121 leases and 14.4 million square feet. That is real pricing power, not financial engineering. Same Store Cash NOI grew 5.4% in Q4 and 4.3% for the full year.
| Business Driver | Realty Income (O) | STAG Industrial (STAG) |
|---|---|---|
| Main Growth Engine | Global acquisitions, private capital vehicles | Industrial leasing spreads, U.S. warehouse demand |
| Q4 Same Store Growth | 1.1% same store rent | 5.4% Same Store Cash NOI |
| Occupancy | 98.9% | 97.2% |
| EPS vs. Estimate | Miss (-16.05%) | Beat (+100%) |
Realty Income’s quarter looked different on the surface. EPS of $0.32 missed the $0.381 consensus by 16.05%. But revenue told a better story: $1.48 billion against a $1.16 billion estimate, a 27.34% beat. Portfolio occupancy held at 98.9%, and the rent recapture rate reached 104.9% on re-leased properties.

One Bets on Global Scale. The Other Doubles Down on U.S. Warehouses.
Realty Income is building large-scale global operations. European investments totaled $950 million in Q4 at a 7.2% yield. The company closed an $800 million preferred equity stake in Blackstone-affiliated CityCenter assets and expanded into Mexico with a $200 million industrial portfolio commitment. Its GIC partnership and U.S. Core Plus fund attracted over $3 billion in combined commitments.
STAG keeps focus tight. Full-year 2025 acquisitions totaled 13 buildings across 3.8 million square feet for $449.1 million at a 6.5% cash cap rate. Q4 deals spanned Chicago, Raleigh, Fresno, Kansas City, Nashville, and Cincinnati.
The acquisition pipeline stands at $3.6 billion across 169 buildings and 30.5 million square feet. Crucially, 69.2% of expected 2026 leasing is already addressed at a 20% Cash Rent Change, giving STAG near-term visibility.
| Strategic Lens | Realty Income (O) | STAG Industrial (STAG) |
|---|---|---|
| Geographic Scope | U.S., Europe, Mexico | U.S. only |
| Asset Mix | Retail, Industrial, Gaming, Other | Single-tenant industrial only |
| 2026 Investment Target | ~$8.0 billion | $3.6B pipeline |
| Key Vulnerability | Rising interest expense, impairment provisions | Rising rates, declining cash balance |

The Next Test Is Whether Rent Spreads or Scale Wins in 2026
For Realty Income, the 2026 watch is execution on $8 billion investment volume target while managing full-year 2025 interest expense that already rose to $1.13 billion from $1.02 billion in 2024.
Impairment provisions deserve attention: $471.3 million for the full year 2025 is a number income investors should not ignore. The dividend remains reliable. Realty Income has now raised its dividend for 113 consecutive quarters, with the current monthly payment at $0.2705 per share.
For STAG, the question is whether industrial demand holds through a slower macro environment. Cash on hand fell to $14.91 million at quarter end, down 58.91% year over year, and the term loan rate step-up from 1.70% to 3.94% adds pressure.
STAG’s monthly dividend has grown consistently, with the most recent payment at $0.387 per share on the March 20, 2026 ex-dividend date. Watch whether STAG’s 20% pre-leasing rent spreads hold if industrial vacancy rises nationally.
On price performance, Realty Income has pulled ahead year-to-date. O is up 16.96% in 2026 versus STAG’s 9.3% gain over the same period. Over one year, the gap flips: STAG is up 25% against O’s 17.9%.
Realty Income vs. STAG: What Each Profile Suits
STAG’s operational story is compelling. Leasing spreads are strong, the pipeline is visible, and pure-play industrial focus removes complexity. U.S. warehouse demand staying elevated through 2026 would support STAG’s growth-within-income profile.
Realty Income’s scale, dividend consistency, and diversification are harder to replicate. The dividend yield sits near 5% with 27 years of uninterrupted monthly payments. The 2026 AFFO per share guidance of $4.38 to $4.42 is modest but reliable growth backed by a platform spanning continents and asset classes.
Realty Income’s income stability profile contrasts with STAG’s rate sensitivity and macro exposure, which is paired with sharper near-term leasing momentum.