Avis Has Pulled a GameStop. Here’s How the Squeeze Numbers Actually Compare

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By Trey Thoelcke Published

Quick Read

  • Avis Budget Group (CAR) stock surged in roughly 25 days before collapsing in a week, driven by an ownership concentration between two hedge funds controlling over 10 million shares against 25% short interest.

  • Four historic squeezes share an identical mechanical fingerprint, and spotting it in advance would have revealed exactly when to exit.

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Avis Has Pulled a GameStop. Here’s How the Squeeze Numbers Actually Compare

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Avis Budget Group (NASDAQ: CAR | CAR Price Prediction) stock surged from roughly $148 a share on March 27, 2026, to a 52-week high of $847.70 in a matter of weeks, then crumpled back to $182.01 by April 28. That arc, peak euphoria followed by a 74.51% one-week drop, lands the rental-car operator in rare company. Below are the most famous parabolic short squeezes of the modern era, ranked by mechanical force and market scar tissue, with the actual numbers behind each one.

The Comparison Table

Stock Year Pre-Squeeze Peak Approx. Days to Peak Post-Peak Drawdown to Date Primary Catalyst
Theater chain (see #4) 2021 $97.06 $370.05 ~60 −98.4% (5Y) Retail call buying, theater rescue narrative
Volkswagen 2008 approximate approximate ~2 approximate Porsche float disclosure
Video-game retailer (see #2) 2021 $4.31 peak approximate ~20 −43.0% (5Y) Retail vs. hedge funds, gamma squeeze
Rental-car operator (see #1) 2026 $148.45 $847.70 ~25 −74.5% (1W from peak window) 71% ownership concentration, hedge-fund standoff

4. AMC Entertainment, 2021

AMC Entertainment (NYSE: AMC) was the meme-stock encore. Split-adjusted, shares ran from $97.06 on May 3, 2021, to $370.05 by July 30, 2021, a 281.3% surge driven by retail call buyers and CEO Adam Aron’s open courtship of shareholders. The chain monetized the rally with equity issuance, but the hangover lingered. AMC closed at $1.64 on April 28, 2026, down 98.4% over five years. Q4 2025 still produced a $127.4 million net loss against $142.2 million of quarterly interest expense and roughly $4.0 billion in corporate borrowings.

3. Volkswagen, 2008

The original sovereign-style squeeze. Porsche disclosed control of most of Volkswagen’s float in late October 2008, and with sellers and shorts boxed out, VW briefly became the most valuable company in the world. Peak prices and drawdowns were extreme but are referenced here as approximate per source verification standards. The lesson endured: when the float is tighter than the short interest, fundamentals cease to price the stock and supply mechanics take over. Volkswagen does not trade on a U.S. exchange, but every modern squeeze, including the Avis episode, traces a logical line back to that two-day spike.

2. GameStop, 2021

GameStop (NYSE: GME) is the cultural anchor. Split-adjusted, shares moved from $4.31 on January 4, 2021, through the late-January gamma squeeze, with the custom window through February 26, 2021, showing a 489.8% gain. Today, GameStop is a different company: Q3 FY2026 delivered adjusted EPS of $0.24 on $821 million in revenue, with $7.84 billion in cash, a $519.4 million Bitcoin position, and $4.16 billion in long-term debt from convertible issuance. The stock closed at $25.09 on April 28, 2026, with a trailing P/E of 33x.

1. The Rental-Car Squeeze, 2026

Avis tops the list because the mechanics were extreme and professional capital, not retail traders, drove the action. Per Wall Street Journal reporting, the rally was a battle between professional investors, specifically hedge funds SRS Investment Management and Pentwater Capital Management, who together controlled approximately 71% of Avis shares, alongside cash-settled equity swaps. Short interest stood near 25% of shares outstanding against a float of just 10.14 million shares. The unwind was just as fast: Pentwater sold $510.9 million in Avis shares across April 22 and 23, and Bloomberg called the 70% crash a quick end to the squeeze. Reddit’s r/wallstreetbets caught the moment with the “CAR (Avis) Put $1200 -> $35,000” post (932 upvotes) before pivoting to “Avis Squeeze is Officially Over” within 48 hours. Fundamentals never supported the move: Q4 FY2025 produced an $856 million net loss driven by a $518 million EV fleet impairment, negative shareholders’ equity of −$3.13 billion, and $6.1 billion of corporate debt. Consensus rating now reads Strong Sell with an average target near $120.

The Takeaway

Each of these squeezes confirmed the same pattern: concentrated ownership plus crowded shorts plus a narrative spark equals a parabola, and parabolas resolve through sharp drawdowns that take years to repair, if they repair at all. AMC remains 98.4% below its 2021 peak window, GameStop is still 43.0% lower over five years, and Avis has already given back most of April’s gains. The investor-first lesson is risk management and position sizing, not searching for the next squeeze candidate.

 

Photo of Trey Thoelcke
About the Author Trey Thoelcke →

Trey has been an editor and author at 24/7 Wall St. for more than a decade, where he has published thousands of articles analyzing corporate earnings, dividend stocks, short interest, insider buying, private equity, and market trends. His comprehensive coverage spans the full spectrum of financial markets, from blue-chip stalwarts to emerging growth companies.

Beyond 24/7 Wall St., Trey has created and edited financial content for Benzinga and AOL's BloggingStocks, contributing additional hundreds of articles to the investment community. He previously oversaw the 24/7 Climate Insights site, managing editorial operations and content strategy, and currently oversees and creates content for My Investing News.

Trey's editorial expertise extends across multiple publishing environments. He served as production editor at Dearborn Financial Publishing and development editor at Kaplan, where he helped shape financial education materials. Earlier in his career, he worked as a writer-producer at SVE. His freelance editing portfolio includes work for prestigious clients such as Sage Publications, Rand McNally, the Institute for Supply Management, the American Library Association, Eggplant Literary Productions, and Spiegel.

Outside of financial journalism, Trey writes fiction and has been an active member of the writing community for years, overseeing a long-running critique group and moderating workshop sessions at regional conventions. He lives with his family in an old house in the Midwest.

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