What Walmart and Amazon Stock Prices Tell About the Holidays

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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What happened to bricks-and-mortar and e-commerce sales this holiday season? If Wall St.’s opinion has validity, online operations did well and old-school stores did not. The price of Wal-Mart Stores Inc.’s (NYSE: WMT) shares fell 1% over the past month. Amazon.com Inc.’s (NASDAQ: AMZN) were 8% higher. The S&P 500 rose by 3% in the same period.

While there is chance Walmart did well online, it would not be nearly enough to offset weak store sales. ComScore shows that Walmart.com is the most visited e-commerce site in the United States after Amazon’s and eBay Inc.’s (NASDAQ: EBAY). However, online sales are less than 10% of Walmart’s total.

Walmart’s shares are not the only retail stocks that have taken a beating in the past month. The shares of major rival Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) are off 6%. Higher end retailer Macy’s Inc. (NYSE: M) shares have dropped more than 8%. The stock of industry dog Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD) are off by 14% in the past month.

By contrast, eBay’s shares are 6% higher over the past month.

It would be wrong to say that Internet sales at major bricks-and-mortar retailers have done poorly this year. However, they cannot have been enough to significantly boost total sales at these companies because, as is true with Walmart, those sales are a modest portion of total revenue.

Despite pessimism about the fortunes of the old-line retailer, their e-commerce traffic has, in many cases, begun to move in the right direction. ComScore reports visits to the Best Buy Co. Inc. (NYSE: BBY) site are up 85% from October to November. Traffic to Kohl’s Corp. (NYSE: KSS) rose 56% for the same period. Unique visitors to J.C. Penney Co. Inc.’s (NYSE: JCP) site were 48% higher.

Still, the holiday sales picture is not a clear one this year. Analysts say the increase in traffic to tradition retail sites may reflect foot traffic to their stores. That is, some shoppers go to the Best Buy site to find merchandise, then try to beat the electronic retailer’s price, probably most often at Amazon.

On balance, Wall St. does not believe that bricks-and-mortar stores can undo the damage that Amazon has done, even if their online traffic has risen.

Douglas A. McIntyre

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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