What Citrix Systems Earnings Mean To VMware (CTXS, VMW, MSFT, EMC)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Citrix Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:CTXS) is set to report earnings after the close today.  Because of past options reviews and its old listing issues this may only be a partial or preliminary report that only shows revenues.  First Call has estimates at $0.38 EPS and revenues at $339.7 million.  Next quarter estimates are $0.45 EPS and $373 million; and Fiscal-2008 estimates (very wide range) appear to be $1.75 EPS and $1.57 Billion revenues.

In prior periods this might not have garnered enough enthusiasm for its own preview, but after it announced XenSource for $500 million it became a more focused interest as a virtualization stock.  That deal is expected to close this quarter. As per its comments: This acquisition moves Citrix into adjacent server and desktop virtualization markets, expected by Citrix to grow to nearly $5 billion over the next four years. None of the results from XenSource will be included in Q3 earnings, but it’s a safe bet that the focus from Wall Street will be covering the virtualization push.

Citrix shares closed at $32.27 the day the XenSource deal was announced.  Shares now sit up above $41.00 and over the last few days this was on new year highs at $42.75.  Analysts have an average price target around $43.00.

Citrix also extended its virtualization alliance with Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) in September by standardizing on the Microsoft® Virtual Hard Disk (VHD) format as a common runtime environment for both virtualized operating systems and applications.

We won’t start drawing the EMC (NYSE:EMC) comparisons for the value that VMware has added in relation to XenSource.  The companies are very different and the company can’t (or at least shouldn’t) make too many robust comments on a pending or developing issue.  But despite the major size differences between these companies, it is quite likely that VMware traders and investors will be looking to see how much focus Citrix gives to virtualization.

Jon C. Ogg
October 17, 2007

Jon Ogg is the publisher of the 24/7 Wall St. Special Situation Investing Newsletter and he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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