An odd thing happened on the road to AI dominance. The market became concerned about the large investments and intense competition among companies such as Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN | AMZN Price Prediction), Meta (NASDAQ: META), and OpenAI. AI leaders were hit by investors because they were no longer attractive, even though they had been just two months ago.
Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), which has never launched its own AI products, is doing very well in the stock market. Its shares are up 36% in the last six months. The S&P is only 9% higher in the same period. Amazon has barely kept up with the S&P by the same measurement. Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) is down 42%.
Apple was criticized for not having an advanced AI-driven version of its Siri interactive iPhone features. The product was scheduled for release on an early version of iOS this year. This was delayed over and over. Apple AI engineers moved to competing firms.
Apple finally decided to use Google’s Gemini AI product to integrate into Apple Intelligence. Gemini has been well reviewed and is seen as a strong competitor to OpenAI, the market leader, which seemed impossible until the end of last year. The price tag Apple paid to Google was estimated at $1 billion a year, which appeared to be a remarkably favorable deal. However, Google got tremendous distribution of Gemini across Apple’s hardware products, which it could not have had otherwise.
In the meantime, the big AI champions proved again and again that their AI investments, which were as high as $100 billion a year, have not borne fruit. Their integration into paid products has been slow. Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), in particular, was criticized for a low payback in terms of getting an AI boost to revenue. Its stock is down 23% in the last six months.
Even Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), the cornerstone of AI worldwide, has had a drop in its stock price of 3% in the last six months.
Apple was the tech stock market leader for years. It was the first company to post a $1 trillion market cap in 2018. Apple lost its mojo. Now, its mojo is back.