Wheat Supply Rises, Price Falls

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By Paul Ausick Updated Published
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The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) this morning released its monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report for November. The agency lifted its estimate on U.S. wheat stocks by 50 million bushels, due mainly to a sharp decline in exports. The new estimate for wheat pricing has dropped to $7.70 to $8.30 per bushel.

Wheat prices reacted quickly, dropping from nearly $8.50 a bushel to below $8.25 a bushel.

Crop shortages in Russia and Ukraine had been bolstering wheat prices, but higher production from China, Canada, and Australia is expected to add 1.6 million metric tons to global supplies.

The average price for corn was lowered to a range of $6.80 to $8.00 a bushel, and corn prices slid a bit to around $7.30 a bushel. Early harvesting in the U.S. has been keeping a lid on corn prices.

U.S. soybean production has been raised slightly, but the big news there was a jump of 600 million pounds in soybean exports to China and Mexico among other destinations. Soybean price expectations were also dropped to an average of $13.55 to $15.55 a bushel. The market price declined slightly on the forecast, to around $14.70 a bushel.

The December WASDE report is available here.

Paul Ausick

Photo of Paul Ausick
About the Author Paul Ausick →

Paul Ausick has been writing for a673b.bigscoots-temp.com for more than a decade. He has written extensively on investing in the energy, defense, and technology sectors. In a previous life, he wrote technical documentation and managed a marketing communications group in Silicon Valley.

He has a bachelor's degree in English from the University of Chicago and now lives in Montana, where he fishes for trout in the summer and stays inside during the winter.

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