The Role of 2020 Lithium Prices in Livent’s Q4 Report

Photo of Chris Lange
By Chris Lange Published
This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.
The Role of 2020 Lithium Prices in Livent’s Q4 Report

© ktsimage / Getty Images

When Livent Corp. (NYSE: LTHM) released its fourth-quarter financial results late Thursday, the specialty chemicals company said that it had $0.05 in earnings per share (EPS) and $78.4 million in revenue. The consensus estimates had called for $0.05 in EPS and revenue of $82.01 million. The same period of last year reportedly had EPS of $0.23 and $119.8 million in revenue.

The company previously disclosed that its fourth-quarter and full-year results would reflect declining prices throughout the year, primarily due to industry supply additions outpacing demand growth. Additionally, in the fourth quarter, certain orders that were delayed into 2020 by customers and Livent’s decision to carry hydroxide inventory to meet higher customer commitments in 2020 resulted in lower volumes compared to the prior year.

Looking ahead to the 2020 full year, the company expects to see EPS in the range of $0.18 to $0.31 and revenue between $375 million and $425 million. The consensus estimates are $0.38 in EPS and $459.99 million in revenue for the year.

This guidance is based on expected volume growth of roughly 30% compared with 2019. Offsetting this volume increase is Livent’s view that market pricing will continue to remain depressed and that its average realized pricing for lithium hydroxide in 2020 will be low-to-mid-teens percent lower than its average realized pricing in 2019.

Additionally, Livent anticipates higher costs from using up to 5,000 tons of additional third-party lithium carbonate to sell higher volumes of battery-grade lithium hydroxide. These two items are the largest drivers of Livent’s expectation of lower year-on-year profitability in 2020.

[nativounit]

Paul Graves, president and CEO of Livent, commented:

Despite another record year of lithium compound demand, pricing has been severely impacted by oversupply conditions.  Lithium producers and resource developers are responding to this by reducing output and delaying or canceling capacity expansion projects. We recognize the financial challenges current pricing levels are creating, and as a result, have elected to slow down our own capacity expansion program in order to preserve our financial flexibility and align our additional supply with future demand growth.

Livent stock traded down about 16% Friday morning to $9.94, in a 52-week range of $5.49 to $14.16. The consensus price target is $8.69.

[recirclink id=646938]
[wallst_email_signup]

Photo of Chris Lange
About the Author Chris Lange →

Chris Lange is a writer for 24/7 Wall St., based in Houston. He has covered financial markets over the past decade with an emphasis on healthcare, tech, and IPOs. During this time, he has published thousands of articles with insightful analysis across these complex fields. Currently, Lange's focus is on military and geopolitical topics.

Lange's work has been quoted or mentioned in Forbes, The New York Times, Business Insider, USA Today, MSN, Yahoo, The Verge, Vice, The Intelligencer, Quartz, Nasdaq, The Motley Fool, Fox Business, International Business Times, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Barron’s, Benzinga, and many other major publications.

A graduate of Southwestern University in Georgetown, Texas, Lange majored in business with a particular focus on investments. He has previous experience in the banking industry and startups.

Continue Reading

Top Gaining Stocks

CBOE Vol: 1,568,143
PSKY Vol: 12,285,993
STX Vol: 7,378,346
ORCL Vol: 26,317,675
DDOG Vol: 6,247,779

Top Losing Stocks

LKQ
LKQ Vol: 4,367,433
CLX Vol: 13,260,523
SYK Vol: 4,519,455
MHK Vol: 1,859,865
AMGN Vol: 3,818,618