Q3 25 EPS
$0.72
BEAT +86.77%
Est. $0.39
Q3 25 Revenue
$903.0M
BEAT +92.79%
Est. $468.4M
vs S&P Since Q3 25
+7.7%
BEATING MARKET
AGNC +15.1% vs S&P +7.4%
Market Reaction
Did AGNC Beat Earnings? Q3 2025 Results
AGNC Investment delivered a blowout third quarter, posting earnings per share of $0.72 against a consensus estimate of $0.39, an 86.77% beat, while revenue surged to $903.00 million, a 92.79% beat on estimates and a striking 269.1% increase year over… Read more AGNC Investment delivered a blowout third quarter, posting earnings per share of $0.72 against a consensus estimate of $0.39, an 86.77% beat, while revenue surged to $903.00 million, a 92.79% beat on estimates and a striking 269.1% increase year over year. The primary engine behind the quarter was a $688.00 million net gain in other gain (loss), driven largely by $805.00 million in unrealized gains on investment securities measured at fair value, which more than offset losses on Treasury positions and realized security sales. The company also delivered a 10.6% economic return on tangible common equity for the quarter, with tangible net book value per share climbing $0.47 to $8.28. The investment portfolio expanded to $90.80 billion, and AGNC raised $309.00 million through ATM share issuances and completed a $345.00 million preferred offering. Though pre-earnings forecasts had pointed toward a profit decline, CEO Peter Federico took a constructive tone on the Agency MBS outlook, citing favorable mortgage spreads, manageable supply, and positively trending GSE reform discussions as tailwinds heading into the next quarter.
Key Takeaways
- • Agency MBS outperformed U.S. Treasuries for five consecutive months for the first time since 2013
- • Tighter mortgage spreads to benchmark rates drove $0.47 increase in tangible net book value per share
- • $805 million unrealized gains on investment securities measured at fair value through net income
- • $245 million interest rate swap periodic income
- • 10.6% economic return on tangible common equity for the quarter
- • Investment portfolio grew to $90.8 billion from prior quarter
AGNC YoY Financials
Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024, source: SEC Filings
“In the third quarter, the Federal Reserve's pivot to a less restrictive monetary policy stance and the easing of fiscal policy concerns drove robust financial market performance and a significant improvement in investor sentiment. Agency mortgage-backed securities were one of the best performing fixed income asset classes during the quarter and have now outperformed U.S. Treasuries for five consecutive months for the first time since 2013. In this beneficial investment environment, AGNC generated a very strong economic return on tangible common equity of 10.6% in the third quarter.”
— Peter Federico, Q3 2025 Earnings Press Release
AGNC Earnings Trends
AGNC vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
AGNC EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
AGNC Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
AGNC Quarterly Results
6 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 26 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Q1 26 | — | $-0.17 | — | — | — |
| Q4 25 FY | — | $0.83 | — | — | — |
| FY Full Year | — | $1.47 | — | — | — |
| Q3 25 BEAT | $0.39 | $0.72 | +86.77% | $903.0M | +92.79% |
| Q2 25 MISS | $0.41 | $-0.17 | -141.33% | $830.0M | +85.53% |
| Q1 25 MISS | $0.41 | $0.02 | -95.09% | $846.0M | +90.91% |