Can Microsoft Become The Next Oracle?

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Wall St. was disappointed by the sales of Microsoft’s (NASDAQ: MSFT) Windows products as the world’s largest software company announced earnings for the quarter which ended March 31. Microsoft’s two enterprise software units did very well, which raises the issue of whether Microsoft can become the next Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) or IBM (NYSE: IBM) by pushing itself further into the business of marketing software to businesses.

Microsoft’s Windows revenue fell from $4.65 billion in last year’s quarter to $4.45 billion in the most recent period. That does not seem like too much of a drop, but Windows is the flagship business of the company. A global rotation away from PCs and toward tablets and smartphones will limit the ability of Windows to recover.

The news from Microsoft’s business-to-business units was much better. The Business Division’s revenue rose from $4.34 billion to $5.25 billion. It is now the largest division at Microsoft and its most profitable with segment profits of $3.17 billions to Window’s $2.76 billion. The Servers and Tools operation is nearly as large as Windows. It has revenue of $4.1 billion in the first quarter and is growing quickly

Microsoft’s revenue for the first quarter was $16.43 billion. Oracle’s are just above $9 billion. But, Oracle’s growth rate is faster. Oracle’s market cap is $179 billion to Microsoft’s $224 billion. And, Oracle’s shares are up 35% in the last year. Microsoft’s are down 13%.

Microsoft has begun to shift its emphasis to Windows Mobile as a way to offset a drop in the sales of PC-based products. It has also started to market cloud based products to compete with offerings from firms like Google (NASDAQ: GOOG). Each of these two efforts is a long-shot, particularly an assault on the smartphone OS industry which is already dominated by Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Android.

Microsoft not only has its own strong enterprise businesses; It has $50 billion in cash. That is enough for it to buy several business-to-business firms like Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM), which has annual revenue of close to $2 billion.

Microsoft could stake its future on the search business, game consoles, and a migration of Windows to portable devices. Its chances of becoming a dominant force in the enterprise business are much better.

Douglas A. McIntyre

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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