Will Apple Launch iPhone 7 Too Soon?

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Rumors reported in the press claim that Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) will release the iPhone 7 before the end of 2015. The rumors have been specific. Apple already has ordered 90 million units. Also, the iPhone 7 may change very little from the iPhone 6, which raises the issue of whether the iPhone 7 will be released too soon, given the ongoing demand for the current version.

The iPhone 6 is 10 months old and barely will have passed its first birthday when the iPhone 7 is released. By almost any measure, the iPhone 6 has been successful. The first weekend the smartphone was available, over 10 million units were sold. Apple sold more than 61 million iPhones in the most recently reported quarter, up 40% from the same quarter last year. According to Barron’s, Raymond James analysts increased their forecasts for iPhone sales in the quarter about to be announced, plus September, to as many as 50 million units. In the relentless cycle of rapidly updated smartphone models, perhaps Apple management does not want to fall behind. Apple’s share of the smartphone industry profits has reached 92% among the top eight smartphone makers, according to reports of data from Canaccord Genuity, which analyzed first-quarter data. If so, Apple has more than raw market share to defend.

However, what does Apple need to defend itself against? Samsung, Apple’s multiyear rival, released its Galaxy S6 later than Apple did the iPhone 6. It has not sold well enough to challenge the iPhone 6’s dominate position. Samsung has lost its momentum in the smartphone sector. A new version of the Galaxy must be a year away, based on typical upgrade cycles.

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Apple management has made a calculated risk, which is that the demand for the iPhone will go on at the levels it posted last quarter. But only if it keeps an aggressive upgrade cycle, they believe. By the end of the year, or early next, the market will tell if Apple acted too quickly while consumers barely have learned how to use their new iPhone 6 models.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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