What’s Missing in Dollar General’s Strong Quarter?

Photo of Paul Ausick
By Paul Ausick Published
This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.
What’s Missing in Dollar General’s Strong Quarter?

© bgwalker / Getty Images

Dollar General Corp. (NYSE: DG | DG Price Prediction) reported third-quarter 2020 results before markets opened Thursday. The discount retailer reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.31 on revenues of $8.2 billion. In the same period a year ago, Dollar General reported EPS of $1.42 on revenue of $7.0 billion. Third-quarter results also compare to consensus estimates calling for EPS of $2.00 and $8.15 billion in revenue.

Same-store sales increased by 12.2% year over year due to higher transaction amounts, partially offset by a drop in customer traffic. The company said the biggest gain in same-store sales came in the home products category and that COVID-19 had a “significant positive impact” on both net sales and same-store sales.

Operating profit rose by 57.3% to $773.1 million, including incremental investments of about $38 million in protection measures for store employees and approximately $25 million in bonuses for front-line workers.

Capital spending in the first three quarters of the year totaled $698 million. During that period, Dollar General opened 780 new stores, remodeled 1,425 stores and relocated 76 stores. CEO Todd Vasos commented that the company had completed 765 real estate projects in the quarter and that Dollar General is well-positioned “to continue delivering value and convenience for our customers, along with long-term sustainable growth and value for our shareholders.”

[nativounit]

Dollar General repurchased 4.4 million shares of common stock during the quarter, at an average price of $204.58, and has $1.6 billion remaining in its authorized buyback plan. The company also paid a quarterly dividend of $0.36 per share. At the end of the quarter, Dollar General reported $2.2 billion in cash and equivalents and $5.0 billion in merchandise inventories.

The company did not update its fiscal year guidance but did say that it expects full fiscal year stock buybacks to total about $2.5 billion. (Dollar General has repurchased $1.7 billion in stock so far in the fiscal year.) The company also expects capital spending to total $1.0 billion to $1.1 billion for the year and to close the year with 2,780 real estate projects. For the 2021 fiscal year, Dollar General expects to complete 2,900 real estate projects, including 1,050 new stores, 1,750 remodeling projects and 100 relocations.

Analysts have forecast fourth-quarter EPS of $2.55 on sales of $7.71 billion. For the full fiscal year, consensus estimates call for EPS of $10.25 and sales of $33.3 billion.

The lack of fiscal year guidance may be causing some concern among investors, but when competitor Dollar Tree Inc. (NASDAQ: DLTR) announced results last month without guidance, the shares jumped by more than 10%. Dollar General’s capital spending also may be figuring into the mix, with investors looking for a better dividend yield than 0.66%.

Dollar General stock traded down about 1.7% in Thursday’s premarket session, at $213.75 in a 52-week range of $125.00 to $225.25. The consensus price target on the stock is $228.31.

[recirclink id=822865][wallst_email_signup]

Photo of Paul Ausick
About the Author Paul Ausick →

Paul Ausick has been writing for a673b.bigscoots-temp.com for more than a decade. He has written extensively on investing in the energy, defense, and technology sectors. In a previous life, he wrote technical documentation and managed a marketing communications group in Silicon Valley.

He has a bachelor's degree in English from the University of Chicago and now lives in Montana, where he fishes for trout in the summer and stays inside during the winter.

Featured Reads

Our top personal finance-related articles today. Your wallet will thank you later.

Continue Reading

Top Gaining Stocks

CBOE Vol: 1,568,143
PSKY Vol: 12,285,993
STX Vol: 7,378,346
ORCL Vol: 26,317,675
DDOG Vol: 6,247,779

Top Losing Stocks

LKQ
LKQ Vol: 4,367,433
CLX Vol: 13,260,523
SYK Vol: 4,519,455
MHK Vol: 1,859,865
AMGN Vol: 3,818,618