Tesla Shares Up 500% Over Past 5 Years, Worth More Than Ford

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Tesla Shares Up 500% Over Past 5 Years, Worth More Than Ford

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Tesla Inc.’s (NASDAQ: TSLA) future is still bright, based on a stock market measure. Despite a recent sell-off that pushed shares near a 52-week low, Tesla stock still is up over 500% in the past five years, and its market cap is still larger than that of Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F), a much bigger company.

Why, after a devastating string of news, are its shares not closer to zero? The company continues to be viewed as the future of the auto industry. Its technology has stayed at the cutting edge. Demand for its products is unprecedented in the car industry, at least in the past few decades.

The list of Tesla’s recent problems is long and brutal. Its bonds have been downgraded further into the junk category by Moody’s. That means, in theory, it will be harder to sell fixed income instruments or the interest on them will be back-breakingly high. Production of its inexpensive Model 3, which many consider the future of Tesla, has been slow. The Model 3 is priced near $35,000, which makes it much more affordable than other Tesla models. Over a hundred thousand customers, or perhaps more, are waiting for the ones they have ordered.

Also, a Tesla Model X was involved in a fatal accident. The company said the car’s autopilot feature was engaged, and that the driver did not have his hands on the wheel. That, in and of itself, does not tell much. The National Transportation Board said it is unhappy Tesla revealed details of the accident before a complete investigation.

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Nevertheless, the Model S and Model X are considered wonders of the car industry. Their almost flawless construction, speed and low maintenance have been commented upon over and over. Research firms that rate cars often put Tesla at the top of their brand lists. The Model 3, which was delayed, has no competition. The closest is the Chevy Bolt, which sells only a few thousand cars a year.

All of this adds up to a stock price that has risen over 500% over the past five years. Over the same period, battered Ford’s is off 15% and the S&P 500 is up 124%. Tesla’s market cap is above Ford’s, which is the best measure of what Wall Street believes about the future of the two companies.

While the industry tries to catch Tesla in the electric car and self-driving car business, investors may be impatient. However, they are not impatient enough to sharply lower Tesla’s valuation.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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