In Q4 2025, a wave of institutional investors, including hedge funds linked to Israel Englander’s Millennium Management, accumulated significant positions in IVV, SPY, and QQQ, reinforcing broad conviction in S&P 500 exposure at a moment when many retail investors were growing cautious. The timing is worth examining closely.
The iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (NYSE: IVV | IVV Price Prediction) is about as straightforward as investing gets. It tracks the S&P 500 across all 11 sectors, carries a 0.03% expense ratio, and holds $750.7 billion in net assets. What makes Englander’s move notable isn’t the vehicle, it’s the context in which he chose to add to it.
Buying Into a Pullback
IVV has pulled back meaningfully in 2026. The fund is down 3.04% year-to-date and off 3.76% over the past month, with shares closing at $668.95 on March 12. That’s a notable retreat from recent highs. Against a longer backdrop, though, the fund has returned 19.14% over the past year and 290.03% over the past decade.
The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX)—Wall Street’s fear gauge—tells the same story. The index sits at 26.85 as of March 13, up 31.3% from a month ago, placing it in elevated uncertainty territory. It briefly spiked to 29.49 on March 6 before pulling back. Sophisticated investors often view these windows as entry points, not exit signals.
The Underlying Thesis
Englander’s accumulation (alongside peers like Ray Dalio’s Bridgewater, which added 1,739,550 shares of IVV in Q3 2025, bringing total holdings to 4,049,300 shares valued at over $2.7 billion) points to a shared conviction: that current market anxiety is overstated relative to the underlying quality of S&P 500 constituents.
The fund’s heaviest concentration is in technology. Information Technology represents 33.4% of the portfolio, with Nvidia at 7.78%, Apple at 6.64%, and Microsoft at 5.21% as the top three holdings. These are businesses generating substantial free cash flow with dominant market positions—exactly the kind of quality that institutional investors defend during periods of macro uncertainty.
Consumer sentiment adds a contrarian dimension. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was at 56.4 in January 2026, well below the 80 threshold that signals neutral confidence. Historically, sustained pessimism at these levels has preceded periods of market recovery, not prolonged decline. The yield curve remains supportive: the 10Y-2Y spread stands at 0.51%, positive territory that doesn’t signal imminent recession risk.
Should Retirement Investors Follow?
The honest answer: IVV doesn’t need a billionaire’s endorsement to belong in a retirement portfolio. Its 10-year average annual return of 15.1% and near-zero cost structure make it a legitimate core holding on its own merits.
What Englander’s move does signal is that sophisticated money isn’t fleeing broad U.S. equity exposure during this pullback—it’s adding to it. For a retirement-focused investor with a multi-year horizon, the current combination of a modest drawdown, elevated but declining volatility, and institutional accumulation presents a coherent case for either initiating or reinforcing an IVV position. The thesis isn’t complex: own the best companies in the world, cheaply, and let time do the work.