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Live: Navitas Semiconductor Q1 Earnings Tonight. Can the 676% Surge Survive the Print?

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By Eric Bleeker Updated Published

Quick Read

  • Navitas reports earnings tonight following a 676% rally, but shares have fallen across the past week. Wall Street expects $8.18 million in revenue last quarter, but reactions to their earnings will hinge on management’s commentary around future opportunities.

  • This live blog is being updated by Eric Bleeker, who hosts the 24/7 Wall St. AI Investor Podcast. So you’ll get expert analysis of their earnings. Simply stay on this page, and new updates will appear below automatically. We expect Navitas’ earnings to be released shortly after 4:05 p.m. ET. 

Live Updates

Navitas Guidance Beats Wall Street Expectations By More than 10%

The Navitas IR page got hammered tonight with plenty of Cloudflare error pages. However, you can now get the full press release on their Q1 earnings.

Now that we can view their full report, one area that stands out is the company is calling for $10 million in sales next quarter. That’s more than 10% above Wall Street’s expectations of $8.93 million. These are small figures, but they also begin demonstrating a track record of outperformance before Navitas begins truly scaling revenue in calendar 2027.

Here’s the most important section we’ll be parsing before the company’s conference call tonight:

Recent Business, Customer and Technology Highlights:

  • Announced 20 kW 800 V to 6 V DC-DC power delivery board (PDB) at Nvidia’s GTC conference powered by Navitas GaNFast™ technology, enabling higher-density AI data center architectures with direct conversion in one power stage, targeting up to 97.5% peak efficiency at full load with 1Mhz switching frequency.
  • Demonstrated a novel 250 kW solid-state transformer solution in partnership with EPFL at APEC 2026, featuring Navitas’ GeneSiC™ 3300V and 1200V SiC devices to enable scalable 800 V DC distribution for next-generation AI data centers.
  • Expanded 5th-generation GeneSiC™ 1200 V SiC MOSFET portfolio with the addition of top-side-cooled QDPAK and low-profile TO-247-4L packages tailored for AI Data Centers PSU, delivering industry-leading power density, thermal performance and ruggedness for higher-efficiency, and very compact power systems.
  • Appointed ex-Broadcom executive and semiconductor veteran, Gregory Fischer, to the Board of Directors as part of the Company’s strategic transformation and focus on high-power markets.

Second Quarter 2026 Business Outlook

  • Second quarter 2026 net revenues are expected to increase to $10.0 million, plus or minus $0.5 million, which at the midpoint represents over 16% sequential growth. Non-GAAP gross margin is expected to be 39.25%, plus or minus 75 basis points, which at midpoint represents 25 basis point increase, and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately flat sequentially in a range between $14.5 and $15.5 million.”

Here are the Top 4 Storylines On Navitas Semiconductor's Q1 Conference Call

With the headline numbers out (revenue $8.6 million, EPS -$0.04) and shares down about 4%, the call at 5:00 PM ET is where the 676.59% one-year run gets stress-tested.

  • Top 5 analyst questions: What share of revenue came from high-power markets versus mobile/consumer? Update on the NVIDIA 800V HVDC collaboration (samples Q4 25, volume 2027)? GlobalFoundries late-2026 U.S. GaN readiness? Cash runway given $236.9M cash and FY25 -$107.8M GAAP operating loss? Q2 sequential guide?
  • Key topics: Path beyond 38.7% non-GAAP gross margin; design-win pipeline; $3.5B 2030 SAM bridge.
  • Buzzwords: “Navitas 2.0,” “800V HVDC,” “design wins,” “sequential growth.”
  • Red flags: Soft Q2 guide, opex creep above $15M, China tariff commentary, distributor concentration, mobile wind-down slippage.

 

3 Bull and 3 Bear Cases from Navitas Semiconductor's Q1 Earnings

With the earnings report now out, here is the refreshed thesis check as shares trade down roughly 4% after hours despite a top- and bottom-line beat.

Bull Case

  • Q1 revenue of $8.6 million topped the $8.18 million consensus, and EPS of -$0.04 beat the -$0.0463 estimate.
  • The NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA | NVDA Price Prediction) 800V HVDC collaboration and $3.5B SAM by 2030 anchor the “Navitas 2.0” AI pivot.
  • Cash of $236.9M against $56.8M in liabilities provides runway.

Bear Case

  • Analyst consensus target sits at $8.15, implying 53.56% downside from $17.55.
  • NVIDIA volume production is not targeted until 2027.
  • FY2025 revenue fell 44.9%, and the Q1 base remains tiny.
  • After a 676.59% one-year run, expectations are stretched.

Navitas IR Site Crashed

We’re trying to pull up more information on Navtias Semiconductor’s Q1 earnings but the release on their IR page appears to have crashed.

Navitas Q1 Earnings Are Out - Here's the Key Figures Wall Street is Watching

Navitas Semiconductor earnings are out, here are the main figures moving the stock post-earnings:

  • EPS: -$.04
  • Revenue: $8.6 million

As a reminder, here’s what Wall Street was expecting tonight:

  • EPS: -$.05
  • Revenue: $8.18 million

Shares are initially down about 10% in reaction to the earnings. As a reminder, they were up 12% during today’s trading session.

Shares of Navitas Semiconductor Are Rallying Before Q1 Earnings

Shares of Navitas sold off yesterday, but are back to rallying today. They’re up 12% today, erasing most of the losses accumulated across the past week. Baird’s upgrade could be a leading catalyst for the gains. On the March 13th episode of the AI Investor Podcast I called power management and the shift to 800V the next AI megatrend.

On that episode, I recommended Aehr Test Systems and On Semi. Both those stocks have done well (see our full portfolio returns below).

AI Investor Portfolio Returns
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However, I also detailed Navitas Semiconductor, Wolfspeed, and STMicro as winners from the trend in that episode and their share prices have run as well. So, this is a space I’m extremely excited about and will be looking forward to what Navitas Semiconductor’s management has to say tonight.

Investors are watching Navitas Semiconductor (NASDAQ:NVTS) ahead of its fiscal Q1 2026 results due tonight after the close. After a 676% one-year run, this report could either validate the rally or trigger a sharp reset.

A Parabolic Run Meets the Reality Check

NVTS shares have ripped from $2.05 to $15.92 over the past year, fueled by the company’s pivot toward AI data center power. The stock is up 122.97% year to date and 80.91% over the past month, but it has cooled into the report, falling 13.01% over the past week.

Last quarter, revenue came in at $7.30M, beating the $6.95M consensus by 5.04%, and non-GAAP EPS landed at -$0.05. The bigger story: high-power markets contributed a majority of revenue for the first time. CEO Chris Allexandre framed the shift as evidence that “AI as a catalyst that is driving momentum and broadening adoption of high-power solutions” is taking hold.

Consensus Estimates

Metric Q1 2026 Consensus YoY Change
Revenue $8.18M -42%
Non-GAAP EPS -$0.05 In line
FY 2026 Revenue (prior FY) $45.92M -44.88%
FY 2025 Non-GAAP EPS -$0.20 n/a

Management guided Q1 revenue to $8.0M to $8.5M, with non-GAAP gross margin of 38.7% plus or minus 25 bps and opex near $15M. Keep in mind that 2027 is expected to be the year Navitas revenues begin ‘hockey sticking.’ So expectations will be muted throughout 2026 with most the focus on management’s commentary around product wins and momentum in out years, like 2027 and 2028.

AI Data Center Traction Is the Whole Ball Game

I’ll be watching three things tonight. First, did revenue land inside the guide and confirm a return to sequential growth after five quarters of decline? Second, the gross margin trajectory toward 38.7%, which is critical given Q4’s negative gross profit of -$1.25M. Third, any update on the NVIDIA 800V HVDC collaboration, where engineering samples shipped in Q4 and supplier selections are expected this year.

Polymarket has the beat at 92.5% implied probability, with the “Yes” price climbing 42.5 percentage points over the past week. Insider activity backs the bull case: CEO Allexandre acquired 272,633 shares plus 545,267 option grants at a $9.0 strike on April 1, and CFO Tonya Stevens picked up 559,912 shares on March 30.

The bear case is valuation. NVTS trades at 81 times trailing sales against an analyst consensus target of $8.15, well below the current $17.21. However, this is a company that could see sales grow anywhere from 15 to 30-fold by the end of the decade if it executes and sees growth from massive markets like the switch to 800V data centers.

Robert W. Baird upgraded shares to Outperform on May 4 with a $20 target, but Zacks ESP sits at 0%, hinting at an in-line result rather than a blowout.

 

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Photo of Eric Bleeker, CFA
About the Author Eric Bleeker, CFA →

Eric Bleeker has been investing for more than 20 years. He began his career working at Microsoft before joining Motley Fool, one of the largest publishers of financial research. In his 15 years at Motley Fool Eric served as the General Manager for Fool.com and led coverage in the Technology & Telecom sector. In addition, he was a featured columnist and has hosted dozens of investing seminars attended by more than a million total investors. Eric has more than 1,000 financial bylines to his name and has been featured in The Wall Street Journal, CNBC, Fox Business, and many other leading publications. He is currently focused on artificial intelligence investing and is a CFA Charterholoder.

Live: Navitas Semiconductor Q1 Earnings Tonight. Can the 676% Surge Survive the Print?

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