Gap Is Destroyed

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Gap Is Destroyed

© Engin Ozber / iStock via Getty Images

Once extraordinary, successful clothing retailer Gap Inc. (NYSE: GPS | GPS Price Prediction) has fallen apart. The process started years ago and has accelerated. The new earnings report shows that the spiral down has not stopped and is unlikely to. (Customers are abandoning these 25 brands.)

The stock has fallen 68% in the past five years, while the market has risen over 50%. New CEO Richard Dickson does not have much of a solution. After earnings, he said, “You’ve got to be able to take calculated swings, test, roll and scale very quickly. That is a muscle we will begin to strengthen.” To call that vague is an understatement.

Gap’s quarterly figures were horrible. Revenue dropped 8% to $3.6 billion. Same-store sales fell 6%. The only good news is that the company made $117 million, compared to a loss of $49 million a year ago. Gap management is good at cutting costs to drive a small profit, but that is not a successful strategy.

A look at the revenue across Gap’s major brands was frightening. Gap, the flagship brand, posted a revenue decline of 14% to $755 million. Revenue at the largest brand based on revenue, Old Navy, fell 6% to $2 billion. Banana Republic’s revenue dropped 11% to $480 million. There was no bright spot, which tells the depth of the problem.
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Online sales, which are supposed to be the future of the retail industry, fell 11% during the quarter. That means Gap has lost the e-commerce race to much of the sector.
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One or two divisions could be turned around. Doing the same with three, plus e-commerce, is nearly impossible. Gap is heading down the route of JCPenney and Sears.
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Gap’s final statement about its near-term future spelled out its challenge. Management said revenue will continue to drop. “As we look toward the long-term, we believe our focus on unlocking the value of our important and iconic brands coupled with the transformative actions we are taking to improve our operating structure will position Gap Inc. back on its path towards delivering sustainable, profitable growth and value for our shareholders,” said Katrina O’Connell, executive vice president and chief financial officer. The statement has no substance.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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