Will Anyone Know How Many People Actually Live in the US?

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Will Anyone Know How Many People Actually Live in the US?

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There are supposed to be 329.1 million people in the United States, according to the U.S. Census Population Clock, which measures the number of American residents minute by minute. However, that number could be way off when a more accurate measure is made next year. That is unless the data are collected at all.

There is a battle in the federal courts over who will be included in the count and even when census ballots are printed. At the core of the controversy is whether there will be a citizenship question included in the document used to measure the U.S. population in 2020. If the court battle lasts beyond next week, experts say the questionnaire will not go out on time. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross wants the citizen question included. He said the data is necessary to comply with the Voting Rights Act. His opponents say he really wants to discourage immigrants from answering census questions to undercount areas that lean Democratic. The Commerce Department oversees the Census Bureau.

A House of Representatives panel on Tuesday moved to hold two Trump Cabinet members in contempt of Congress for flouting subpoenas seeking to find out if the citizenship question was intended to discriminate against minority groups.

The battle has heated up as the case moves toward the Supreme Count. A number of nonprofits have donated money to help keep the citizenship question off the census document. These nonprofits include the Ford Foundation, the Kellogg Foundation, the JPB Foundation and the Open Society Foundation. Each has given $5 million.

According to The New York Times, one former senior official at the bureau, who spoke on condition of anonymity because of an advising relationship with the agency, said, “It’s not like the Census Bureau can demand things at the drop of a hat. You’d really be putting the operational plan at great risk if this stretches into mid-August. You may not have a census at all in 2020.”

There are other reasons why the number of people in the United States is counted accurately. It affects how much money the federal government gives states for medical care, child care, education and transportation. This has an impact on which states get the most and least from the U.S. government.

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The figures are also used to set the boundaries of congressional districts, which, in turn, matters in determining who votes for members of Congress and where.

The first U.S. census was taken in 1790. Since then, the data has been collected 22 times. Currently, the count is taken once a decade. By law, the data collected from each person who answers the questions are confidential. People are required by law to answer census questions.

If the 2020 census is delayed for any reason, the government actually will not have an accurate count of how many people are in the United States. That in turn, ripples across who votes, where they vote and how much aid is given to people across the country. Many people move over a period of 10 years, in come cases several times. In some states, net migration is driving population growth. In others, it is driving population declines. These are the fastest growing and shrinking states in America.

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Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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